Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日巴黎气温最高？
9月14日巴黎气温最高？
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 15%
最新
$13,253 交易量
最新
$13,253 交易量
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 15%
最新
$13,253 交易量
最新
$13,253 交易量
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$293 交易量
<1%
23°C
$90 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
2%
25°C
$1,324 交易量
4%
26°C
$2,577 交易量
18%
27°C
$2,260 交易量
35%
28°C
$3,950 交易量
27%
29°C
$2,221 交易量
15%
30°C
$80 交易量
3%
31°C
$2 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$450 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$13,253结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,253结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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