Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月14日慕尼黑最低气温？
9°C或以下 43%
17°C 39%
11°C 37%
16°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
43%
10°C
17%
11°C
37%
12°C
26%
13°C
31%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
17%
19°C或更高
8%
9°C或以下 43%
17°C 39%
11°C 37%
16°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
43%
10°C
$0 交易量
17%
11°C
$0 交易量
37%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$6 交易量
31%
14°C
$4 交易量
29%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
37%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Munich's overnight low on September 14 clustering between 11–15°C, driven by northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from DWD-aligned sources aligns with this range, consistent with September's climatological average low near 10°C but elevated by moist air masses. The tight spread among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C market prices reflects model agreement on the central tendency alongside uncertainty from exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer wind shifts, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs and DWD briefings expected later today may refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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