Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月30日马尼拉的最低温度？
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
23°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,556 交易量
$1,556 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
23°C 3%
21°C or below <1%
$1,556 交易量
$1,556 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$241 交易量
<1%
22°C
$62 交易量
<1%
23°C
$33 交易量
3%
24°C
$81 交易量
20%
25°C
$27 交易量
99%
26°C
$309 交易量
<1%
27°C
$285 交易量
<1%
28°C
$82 交易量
<1%
29°C
$65 交易量
<1%
30°C
$310 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$1,556结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,556结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 30 centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon and typical nocturnal cooling in a tropical urban setting. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers from the monsoon have limited radiative heat loss overnight, supporting minimums around 25°C at official stations like PAGASA's Quezon City site, which recorded 25.4°C early on the 30th. Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 25–27°C, with light southwest winds offering little additional cooling. The near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities reflects uncertainty over exact station resolution criteria and minor microclimate effects from urban heat islands versus enhanced monsoon moisture. Updated observations through the evening will clarify whether any brief clear spells allow a dip toward the lower outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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