Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日马尼拉的最低温度?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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