High pressure aloft over southern China is sustaining clear to partly cloudy conditions and light east-northeasterly winds across Hong Kong, keeping the overnight minimum temperature anchored near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus. This setup limits radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels of 55–90 percent, with only isolated late-day showers expected that are unlikely to alter the dawn low. Historical September minima in the region average around 26–27 °C under similar anticyclonic regimes, aligning trader consensus at 73.5 percent implied probability for 27 °C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers pending final observational data from the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日香港最低气温？
9月20日香港最低气温？
27°C 74%
28°C 12%
26°C 11%
25°C 6%
最新
$12,192 交易量
最新
$12,192 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
74%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 74%
28°C 12%
26°C 11%
25°C 6%
最新
$12,192 交易量
最新
$12,192 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
23°C
$41 交易量
<1%
24°C
$41 交易量
<1%
25°C
$734 交易量
6%
26°C
$3,420 交易量
11%
27°C
$4,745 交易量
74%
28°C
$2,178 交易量
12%
29°C
$41 交易量
<1%
30°C
$877 交易量
<1%
31°C
$37 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure aloft over southern China is sustaining clear to partly cloudy conditions and light east-northeasterly winds across Hong Kong, keeping the overnight minimum temperature anchored near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus. This setup limits radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels of 55–90 percent, with only isolated late-day showers expected that are unlikely to alter the dawn low. Historical September minima in the region average around 26–27 °C under similar anticyclonic regimes, aligning trader consensus at 73.5 percent implied probability for 27 °C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers pending final observational data from the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,192结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure aloft over southern China is sustaining clear to partly cloudy conditions and light east-northeasterly winds across Hong Kong, keeping the overnight minimum temperature anchored near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus. This setup limits radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels of 55–90 percent, with only isolated late-day showers expected that are unlikely to alter the dawn low. Historical September minima in the region average around 26–27 °C under similar anticyclonic regimes, aligning trader consensus at 73.5 percent implied probability for 27 °C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers pending final observational data from the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,192结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETHigh pressure aloft over southern China is sustaining clear to partly cloudy conditions and light east-northeasterly winds across Hong Kong, keeping the overnight minimum temperature anchored near 27 °C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus. This setup limits radiative cooling under moderate humidity levels of 55–90 percent, with only isolated late-day showers expected that are unlikely to alter the dawn low. Historical September minima in the region average around 26–27 °C under similar anticyclonic regimes, aligning trader consensus at 73.5 percent implied probability for 27 °C while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers pending final observational data from the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题