Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 21 will most likely fall in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by high pressure promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under calm conditions typical for late September. Patchy fog near the Sound and marine layer effects could moderate the minimum, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 52°F and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 48–53°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in precise model runs for the exact minimum rather than broader shifts. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model ensembles over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日西雅图最低气温？
9月21日西雅图最低气温？
50-51°F 40%
48-49°F 39%
52-53°F 25%
46-47°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
45°F或以下
11%
46-47°F
19%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
40%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
7%
60-61华氏度
5%
62-63°F
5%
64华氏度或更高
5%
50-51°F 40%
48-49°F 39%
52-53°F 25%
46-47°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
45°F或以下
$0 交易量
11%
46-47°F
$0 交易量
19%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
39%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
40%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
25%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
19%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
11%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
7%
60-61华氏度
$0 交易量
5%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
5%
64华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 21 will most likely fall in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by high pressure promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under calm conditions typical for late September. Patchy fog near the Sound and marine layer effects could moderate the minimum, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 52°F and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 48–53°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in precise model runs for the exact minimum rather than broader shifts. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model ensembles over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 21 will most likely fall in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by high pressure promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under calm conditions typical for late September. Patchy fog near the Sound and marine layer effects could moderate the minimum, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 52°F and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 48–53°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in precise model runs for the exact minimum rather than broader shifts. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model ensembles over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 21 will most likely fall in the low-to-mid 50s°F, driven by high pressure promoting clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and radiational cooling under calm conditions typical for late September. Patchy fog near the Sound and marine layer effects could moderate the minimum, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit cooling. This aligns with climatological averages near 52°F and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 48–53°F bins, reflecting genuine uncertainty in precise model runs for the exact minimum rather than broader shifts. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model ensembles over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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