Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including Midway, recorded an overnight minimum of 66°F on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 64–65°F for late August under typical southerly flow and light rain conditions that limited radiative cooling. This data-driven outcome produced the market's 100% consensus on 64–65°F, as traders incorporated verified station readings rather than models. A realistic challenge would require a revised official report from the primary resolution station showing a lower value due to a localized cold pocket or instrumentation adjustment, though such revisions are rare after initial quality control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日芝加哥最低气温?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below 1.0%
58-59°F 1.0%
60-61°F 1.0%
$1,686 交易量
$1,686 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below 1.0%
58-59°F 1.0%
60-61°F 1.0%
$1,686 交易量
$1,686 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago stations, including Midway, recorded an overnight minimum of 66°F on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal low of 64–65°F for late August under typical southerly flow and light rain conditions that limited radiative cooling. This data-driven outcome produced the market's 100% consensus on 64–65°F, as traders incorporated verified station readings rather than models. A realistic challenge would require a revised official report from the primary resolution station showing a lower value due to a localized cold pocket or instrumentation adjustment, though such revisions are rare after initial quality control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题