**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiational cooling.** The near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, particularly around the strength and timing of any subsidence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High versus enhanced convection or a weak frontal passage that could allow greater cooling. Historical late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin shows average lows near 23°C, with the basin’s topography often trapping heat and humidity; recent above-average seasonal temperatures and variable plateau monsoon influences add to model spread. Traders appear to be weighting the latest ensemble runs showing possible clearing (favoring warmer minima) against continued rain chances (favoring cooler readings), with resolution hinging on official station data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日成都最低气温？
8月25日成都最低气温？
30°C or higher 87%
20°C or below 85%
21°C 50%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
85%
21°C
50%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
87%
30°C or higher 87%
20°C or below 85%
21°C 50%
26°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
$5 交易量
85%
21°C
$5 交易量
50%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
31%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C or higher
$5 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiational cooling.**
The near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, particularly around the strength and timing of any subsidence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High versus enhanced convection or a weak frontal passage that could allow greater cooling. Historical late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin shows average lows near 23°C, with the basin’s topography often trapping heat and humidity; recent above-average seasonal temperatures and variable plateau monsoon influences add to model spread. Traders appear to be weighting the latest ensemble runs showing possible clearing (favoring warmer minima) against continued rain chances (favoring cooler readings), with resolution hinging on official station data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiational cooling.**
The near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, particularly around the strength and timing of any subsidence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High versus enhanced convection or a weak frontal passage that could allow greater cooling. Historical late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin shows average lows near 23°C, with the basin’s topography often trapping heat and humidity; recent above-average seasonal temperatures and variable plateau monsoon influences add to model spread. Traders appear to be weighting the latest ensemble runs showing possible clearing (favoring warmer minima) against continued rain chances (favoring cooler readings), with resolution hinging on official station data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Chengdu on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiational cooling.** The near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, particularly around the strength and timing of any subsidence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High versus enhanced convection or a weak frontal passage that could allow greater cooling. Historical late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin shows average lows near 23°C, with the basin’s topography often trapping heat and humidity; recent above-average seasonal temperatures and variable plateau monsoon influences add to model spread. Traders appear to be weighting the latest ensemble runs showing possible clearing (favoring warmer minima) against continued rain chances (favoring cooler readings), with resolution hinging on official station data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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