Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night with light southerly winds and strong radiational cooling under high pressure, producing an expected overnight low of 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 31. This aligns with the clustered market-implied odds around 8–10°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in minimum timing, exact wind speeds, and localized cooling rates near the coast versus inland stations. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but recent days have run milder with persistent high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture. The tight spread in probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final hourly minimum rather than divergent model guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于开普敦8月31日的最低温度？
开普敦8月31日的最低温度？
9°C 28%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
5°C or below
8%
6°C
25%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
19%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C or higher
<1%
9°C 28%
8°C 28%
10°C 27%
7°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
5°C or below
$80 交易量
8%
6°C
$0 交易量
25%
7°C
$0 交易量
26%
8°C
$0 交易量
28%
9°C
$0 交易量
28%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
21%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$10 交易量
3%
14°C
$5 交易量
6%
15°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night with light southerly winds and strong radiational cooling under high pressure, producing an expected overnight low of 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 31. This aligns with the clustered market-implied odds around 8–10°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in minimum timing, exact wind speeds, and localized cooling rates near the coast versus inland stations. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but recent days have run milder with persistent high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture. The tight spread in probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final hourly minimum rather than divergent model guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$100结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night with light southerly winds and strong radiational cooling under high pressure, producing an expected overnight low of 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 31. This aligns with the clustered market-implied odds around 8–10°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in minimum timing, exact wind speeds, and localized cooling rates near the coast versus inland stations. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but recent days have run milder with persistent high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture. The tight spread in probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final hourly minimum rather than divergent model guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear, dry night with light southerly winds and strong radiational cooling under high pressure, producing an expected overnight low of 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 31. This aligns with the clustered market-implied odds around 8–10°C, where traders weigh subtle differences in minimum timing, exact wind speeds, and localized cooling rates near the coast versus inland stations. Historical August minima average near 8–9°C, but recent days have run milder with persistent high pressure suppressing cloud cover and moisture. The tight spread in probabilities reflects genuine uncertainty in the final hourly minimum rather than divergent model guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations from Cape Town International Airport or equivalent stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题