**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.** Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日开普敦最低气温？
8月30日开普敦最低气温？
10°C 94%
9°C 10%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
$2,028 交易量
$2,028 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
10%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 94%
9°C 10%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
$2,028 交易量
$2,028 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C or below
$170 交易量
<1%
7°C
$35 交易量
2%
8°C
$105 交易量
5%
9°C
$340 交易量
10%
10°C
$632 交易量
94%
11°C
$302 交易量
<1%
12°C
$255 交易量
<1%
13°C
$77 交易量
1%
14°C
$35 交易量
1%
15°C
$30 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.**
Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory.
A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,028结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.**
Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory.
A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,028结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.** Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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