Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日釜山气温最低？
8月30日釜山气温最低？
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,819 交易量
$1,819 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,819 交易量
$1,819 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$365 交易量
No
23°C
$127 交易量
No
24°C
$188 交易量
No
25°C
$139 交易量
Yes
26°C
$171 交易量
No
27°C
$298 交易量
No
28°C
$310 交易量
No
29°C
$50 交易量
No
30°C
$70 交易量
No
31°C
$50 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$50 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,819结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,819结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models and agency guidance points to a daily minimum near 25°C in Busan on August 30, 2026, underpinning the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on that outcome. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 24–27°C amid monsoon-influenced conditions. Official observations through evening confirm temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C range without sharp drops. The primary uncertainty remains potential model divergence on exact minimum timing or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current atmospheric stability makes deviations below 24°C or above 26°C highly improbable before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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