Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan near 24–26 °C on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high dew points near 24 °C, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day may further moderate overnight lows through increased humidity and reduced clear-sky heat loss. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 °C reflect genuine forecast spread across ensembles, where small differences in wind speed or cloud timing could shift the observed minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows typical minima of 23–25 °C, providing context for why traders see little probability below 21 °C absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact value ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日釜山气温最低？
8月31日釜山气温最低？
25°C 38%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
23°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
14%
24°C
27%
25°C
38%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
23°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$9 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
14%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
38%
26°C
$379 交易量
<1%
27°C
$351 交易量
<1%
28°C
$565 交易量
<1%
29°C
$170 交易量
<1%
30°C
$65 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$180 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan near 24–26 °C on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high dew points near 24 °C, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day may further moderate overnight lows through increased humidity and reduced clear-sky heat loss. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 °C reflect genuine forecast spread across ensembles, where small differences in wind speed or cloud timing could shift the observed minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows typical minima of 23–25 °C, providing context for why traders see little probability below 21 °C absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,719结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan near 24–26 °C on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high dew points near 24 °C, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day may further moderate overnight lows through increased humidity and reduced clear-sky heat loss. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 °C reflect genuine forecast spread across ensembles, where small differences in wind speed or cloud timing could shift the observed minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows typical minima of 23–25 °C, providing context for why traders see little probability below 21 °C absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,719结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan near 24–26 °C on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high dew points near 24 °C, and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day may further moderate overnight lows through increased humidity and reduced clear-sky heat loss. The closely matched market probabilities around 22–25 °C reflect genuine forecast spread across ensembles, where small differences in wind speed or cloud timing could shift the observed minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August climatology for Busan shows typical minima of 23–25 °C, providing context for why traders see little probability below 21 °C absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact value ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题