United Russia holds a commanding 96.1% implied probability in the Ingushetia People's Assembly election market due to its entrenched control over regional politics in Russian republics, backed by consistent federal alignment and regional leadership support ahead of the September 20, 2026 vote. Systemic opposition parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, and LDPR trail far behind at 26.5–29.3%, reflecting limited viable competition under current electoral rules and party registration constraints. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in North Caucasus assemblies where the ruling party secures supermajorities. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and include late leadership changes or unforeseen mobilization by registered opposition, though such shifts have rarely disrupted similar contests in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices these barriers as substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 95.8%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.8%
A Just Russia 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
96%
CPRF
3%
New People
3%
A Just Russia
2%
LDPR
1%
United Russia 95.8%
CPRF 2.9%
New People 2.8%
A Just Russia 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$262 交易量
96%
CPRF
$80 交易量
3%
New People
$104 交易量
3%
A Just Russia
$80 交易量
2%
LDPR
$94 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's Assembly of Ingushetia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding 96.1% implied probability in the Ingushetia People's Assembly election market due to its entrenched control over regional politics in Russian republics, backed by consistent federal alignment and regional leadership support ahead of the September 20, 2026 vote. Systemic opposition parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, and LDPR trail far behind at 26.5–29.3%, reflecting limited viable competition under current electoral rules and party registration constraints. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in North Caucasus assemblies where the ruling party secures supermajorities. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and include late leadership changes or unforeseen mobilization by registered opposition, though such shifts have rarely disrupted similar contests in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices these barriers as substantial.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's Assembly of Ingushetia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
交易量
$620结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the People's Assembly of Ingushetia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding 96.1% implied probability in the Ingushetia People's Assembly election market due to its entrenched control over regional politics in Russian republics, backed by consistent federal alignment and regional leadership support ahead of the September 20, 2026 vote. Systemic opposition parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, and LDPR trail far behind at 26.5–29.3%, reflecting limited viable competition under current electoral rules and party registration constraints. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in North Caucasus assemblies where the ruling party secures supermajorities. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and include late leadership changes or unforeseen mobilization by registered opposition, though such shifts have rarely disrupted similar contests in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices these barriers as substantial.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's Assembly of Ingushetia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$620结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding 96.1% implied probability in the Ingushetia People's Assembly election market due to its entrenched control over regional politics in Russian republics, backed by consistent federal alignment and regional leadership support ahead of the September 20, 2026 vote. Systemic opposition parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, and LDPR trail far behind at 26.5–29.3%, reflecting limited viable competition under current electoral rules and party registration constraints. This positioning aligns with historical patterns in North Caucasus assemblies where the ruling party secures supermajorities. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow and include late leadership changes or unforeseen mobilization by registered opposition, though such shifts have rarely disrupted similar contests in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices these barriers as substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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