Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a suburban and exurban seat west of Chicago that leans Democratic and favored her with 55 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Underwood’s fundraising edge, primary dominance, and the district’s structural tilt. Republican nominee James Marter, who prevailed in his March 2026 primary, faces a steep path absent a major national shift or unforeseen local development. Trader consensus at roughly 94–95 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural and resource advantages, though late-cycle national headwinds or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,034 交易量
$14,034 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$14,034 交易量
$14,034 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,451 交易量
95%
共和党
$9,583 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a suburban and exurban seat west of Chicago that leans Democratic and favored her with 55 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Underwood’s fundraising edge, primary dominance, and the district’s structural tilt. Republican nominee James Marter, who prevailed in his March 2026 primary, faces a steep path absent a major national shift or unforeseen local development. Trader consensus at roughly 94–95 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural and resource advantages, though late-cycle national headwinds or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,034结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a suburban and exurban seat west of Chicago that leans Democratic and favored her with 55 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Underwood’s fundraising edge, primary dominance, and the district’s structural tilt. Republican nominee James Marter, who prevailed in his March 2026 primary, faces a steep path absent a major national shift or unforeseen local development. Trader consensus at roughly 94–95 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural and resource advantages, though late-cycle national headwinds or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,034结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a suburban and exurban seat west of Chicago that leans Democratic and favored her with 55 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Underwood’s fundraising edge, primary dominance, and the district’s structural tilt. Republican nominee James Marter, who prevailed in his March 2026 primary, faces a steep path absent a major national shift or unforeseen local development. Trader consensus at roughly 94–95 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural and resource advantages, though late-cycle national headwinds or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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