Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following her strong performance in the August 4 top-two primary where she secured over half the vote against Republican Mary Silva. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean and historical margins, underpin trader consensus around the party's prospects. DelBene's long tenure and prior reelection results further reinforce this positioning, with no major recent developments such as scandals, polling shifts, or candidate withdrawals altering the landscape. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant personal or campaign issues for the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger—factors that have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,353 交易量
$43,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$43,353 交易量
$43,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$23,509 交易量
95%
共和党
$19,844 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following her strong performance in the August 4 top-two primary where she secured over half the vote against Republican Mary Silva. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean and historical margins, underpin trader consensus around the party's prospects. DelBene's long tenure and prior reelection results further reinforce this positioning, with no major recent developments such as scandals, polling shifts, or candidate withdrawals altering the landscape. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant personal or campaign issues for the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger—factors that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$43,353结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following her strong performance in the August 4 top-two primary where she secured over half the vote against Republican Mary Silva. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean and historical margins, underpin trader consensus around the party's prospects. DelBene's long tenure and prior reelection results further reinforce this positioning, with no major recent developments such as scandals, polling shifts, or candidate withdrawals altering the landscape. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant personal or campaign issues for the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger—factors that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,353结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, following her strong performance in the August 4 top-two primary where she secured over half the vote against Republican Mary Silva. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in its partisan lean and historical margins, underpin trader consensus around the party's prospects. DelBene's long tenure and prior reelection results further reinforce this positioning, with no major recent developments such as scandals, polling shifts, or candidate withdrawals altering the landscape. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant personal or campaign issues for the incumbent, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger—factors that have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题