In Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, a crowded field of KMT-affiliated and independent candidates has produced closely matched trader probabilities. The official KMT nominee, Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen, faces challenges from independents including former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien, County Council Speaker Chang Chun, Lo Pei-chin, and Yeh Yao-hui. Internal party divisions over ending long-standing local influence have fragmented support among pan-blue voters, while the absence of recent public polling leaves assessments reliant on early announcements and nomination dynamics. Upcoming candidate registration, potential coalition talks, and voter turnout patterns in this eastern Taiwan county could shift the balance ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于常钧 30%
俞淑珍 27%
叶耀辉 23%
魏嘉贤 19%

常钧
30%

俞淑珍
27%

叶耀辉
23%

魏嘉贤
36%

罗佩钦
28%
常钧 30%
俞淑珍 27%
叶耀辉 23%
魏嘉贤 19%

常钧
30%

俞淑珍
27%

叶耀辉
23%

魏嘉贤
36%

罗佩钦
28%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026 local elections, a crowded field of KMT-affiliated and independent candidates has produced closely matched trader probabilities. The official KMT nominee, Ji'an Township head Yu Shu-chen, faces challenges from independents including former Hualien City mayor Wei Chia-hsien, County Council Speaker Chang Chun, Lo Pei-chin, and Yeh Yao-hui. Internal party divisions over ending long-standing local influence have fragmented support among pan-blue voters, while the absence of recent public polling leaves assessments reliant on early announcements and nomination dynamics. Upcoming candidate registration, potential coalition talks, and voter turnout patterns in this eastern Taiwan county could shift the balance ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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