Forecast models for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 10, driving the close market-implied odds between those outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook points to near-average temperatures under strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor west-to-southwesterly flows that limit warm northerly advection while suppressing extremes. Short-range guidance from MetService and international ensembles shows variable cloud cover and light showers that moderate daytime heating, keeping highs clustered around the long-term August mean of 12–14°C. Minor model spread in wind direction and timing of any frontal passage accounts for the narrow edge to 14°C and residual probability on 15°C, with resolution depending on official observations from the city’s primary station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月10日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 47%
13°C 41%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
41%
14°C
47%
15°C
14%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 41%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C or below
$362 交易量
<1%
8°C
$421 交易量
<1%
9°C
$435 交易量
<1%
10°C
$163 交易量
<1%
11°C
$163 交易量
<1%
12°C
$304 交易量
3%
13°C
$1,275 交易量
41%
14°C
$609 交易量
47%
15°C
$796 交易量
14%
16°C
$159 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$161 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 10, driving the close market-implied odds between those outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook points to near-average temperatures under strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor west-to-southwesterly flows that limit warm northerly advection while suppressing extremes. Short-range guidance from MetService and international ensembles shows variable cloud cover and light showers that moderate daytime heating, keeping highs clustered around the long-term August mean of 12–14°C. Minor model spread in wind direction and timing of any frontal passage accounts for the narrow edge to 14°C and residual probability on 15°C, with resolution depending on official observations from the city’s primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,848结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 10, driving the close market-implied odds between those outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook points to near-average temperatures under strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor west-to-southwesterly flows that limit warm northerly advection while suppressing extremes. Short-range guidance from MetService and international ensembles shows variable cloud cover and light showers that moderate daytime heating, keeping highs clustered around the long-term August mean of 12–14°C. Minor model spread in wind direction and timing of any frontal passage accounts for the narrow edge to 14°C and residual probability on 15°C, with resolution depending on official observations from the city’s primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,848结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETForecast models for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 10, driving the close market-implied odds between those outcomes. NIWA’s seasonal outlook points to near-average temperatures under strengthening El Niño conditions, which favor west-to-southwesterly flows that limit warm northerly advection while suppressing extremes. Short-range guidance from MetService and international ensembles shows variable cloud cover and light showers that moderate daytime heating, keeping highs clustered around the long-term August mean of 12–14°C. Minor model spread in wind direction and timing of any frontal passage accounts for the narrow edge to 14°C and residual probability on 15°C, with resolution depending on official observations from the city’s primary station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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