Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a clearing trend over Shenzhen after recent light rain, with sunny conditions on September 8 favoring strong daytime radiative heating and maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C. This exceeds the September climatological average high near 31 °C, driven by reduced cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence following earlier tropical moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing create the tight split between 33 °C and 34 °C in market-implied odds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shenzhen observations will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日深圳气温最高？
9月8日深圳气温最高？
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
30°C 15%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
10%
33°C
36%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C或更高
4%
33°C 40%
34°C 34%
30°C 15%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$0 交易量
8%
32°C
$29 交易量
10%
33°C
$196 交易量
36%
34°C
$5 交易量
34%
35°C
$18 交易量
9%
36°C
$28 交易量
5%
37°C
$0 交易量
6%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a clearing trend over Shenzhen after recent light rain, with sunny conditions on September 8 favoring strong daytime radiative heating and maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C. This exceeds the September climatological average high near 31 °C, driven by reduced cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence following earlier tropical moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing create the tight split between 33 °C and 34 °C in market-implied odds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shenzhen observations will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$277结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a clearing trend over Shenzhen after recent light rain, with sunny conditions on September 8 favoring strong daytime radiative heating and maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C. This exceeds the September climatological average high near 31 °C, driven by reduced cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence following earlier tropical moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing create the tight split between 33 °C and 34 °C in market-implied odds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shenzhen observations will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$277结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a clearing trend over Shenzhen after recent light rain, with sunny conditions on September 8 favoring strong daytime radiative heating and maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C. This exceeds the September climatological average high near 31 °C, driven by reduced cloud cover, light winds, and subsidence following earlier tropical moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing create the tight split between 33 °C and 34 °C in market-implied odds. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local Shenzhen observations will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题