Traders see elevated odds on a Shenzhen low of 22°C or below (34.5%) versus 32°C or higher (29.5%) because early-September subtropical monsoon conditions allow rapid swings between cooler northerly intrusions and retained heat from the South China Sea. Model ensembles show modest disagreement on the strength of any approaching frontal boundary or weak typhoon remnant that could enhance nighttime radiational cooling versus persistent high humidity and cloud cover that would keep minimums elevated. Historical September lows in Shenzhen average near 25–27°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 25–28°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations and any late adjustments from updated regional models.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日深圳最低气温？
9月8日深圳最低气温？
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated odds on a Shenzhen low of 22°C or below (34.5%) versus 32°C or higher (29.5%) because early-September subtropical monsoon conditions allow rapid swings between cooler northerly intrusions and retained heat from the South China Sea. Model ensembles show modest disagreement on the strength of any approaching frontal boundary or weak typhoon remnant that could enhance nighttime radiational cooling versus persistent high humidity and cloud cover that would keep minimums elevated. Historical September lows in Shenzhen average near 25–27°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 25–28°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations and any late adjustments from updated regional models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated odds on a Shenzhen low of 22°C or below (34.5%) versus 32°C or higher (29.5%) because early-September subtropical monsoon conditions allow rapid swings between cooler northerly intrusions and retained heat from the South China Sea. Model ensembles show modest disagreement on the strength of any approaching frontal boundary or weak typhoon remnant that could enhance nighttime radiational cooling versus persistent high humidity and cloud cover that would keep minimums elevated. Historical September lows in Shenzhen average near 25–27°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 25–28°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations and any late adjustments from updated regional models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders see elevated odds on a Shenzhen low of 22°C or below (34.5%) versus 32°C or higher (29.5%) because early-September subtropical monsoon conditions allow rapid swings between cooler northerly intrusions and retained heat from the South China Sea. Model ensembles show modest disagreement on the strength of any approaching frontal boundary or weak typhoon remnant that could enhance nighttime radiational cooling versus persistent high humidity and cloud cover that would keep minimums elevated. Historical September lows in Shenzhen average near 25–27°C, yet the tight clustering of probabilities around 25–28°C reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations and any late adjustments from updated regional models.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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