Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月25日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 21%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
24°C or below
$42 交易量
<1%
25°C
$38 交易量
<1%
26°C
$26 交易量
1%
27°C
$41 交易量
5%
28°C
$135 交易量
8%
29°C
$72 交易量
21%
30°C
$123 交易量
34%
31°C
$59 交易量
20%
32°C
$0 交易量
7%
33°C
$5 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a primary driver of trader sentiment as the consensus for a peak near 30°C on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity moderating intense solar heating after hotter conditions on August 23. Official guidance highlights 29–31°C ranges as most probable, with 30% precipitation chances potentially suppressing maxima, while historical August baselines near 31°C provide context for the spread. Key variables include evolving model runs on cloud thickness and steering patterns, plus any late adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds around these central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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