Traders see the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 15 centering on 25–26 °C because long-range model guidance and climatological normals place daytime maxima near the upper end of the cool-season range. August typically features subtropical high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest daytime warming while keeping overnight lows around 13–17 °C. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance show limited spread around 23–27 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or short-wave ridging able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical data indicate an average August high near 24–25 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects both this baseline and the inherent uncertainty in extended-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
26°C 32%
25°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
17%
25°C
29%
26°C
32%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
25°C 29%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C or below
$37 交易量
<1%
21°C
$98 交易量
<1%
22°C
$232 交易量
1%
23°C
$590 交易量
7%
24°C
$560 交易量
17%
25°C
$588 交易量
29%
26°C
$2,044 交易量
32%
27°C
$635 交易量
11%
28°C
$72 交易量
1%
29°C
$60 交易量
1%
30°C or higher
$197 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 15 centering on 25–26 °C because long-range model guidance and climatological normals place daytime maxima near the upper end of the cool-season range. August typically features subtropical high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest daytime warming while keeping overnight lows around 13–17 °C. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance show limited spread around 23–27 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or short-wave ridging able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical data indicate an average August high near 24–25 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects both this baseline and the inherent uncertainty in extended-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$5,114结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 15 centering on 25–26 °C because long-range model guidance and climatological normals place daytime maxima near the upper end of the cool-season range. August typically features subtropical high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest daytime warming while keeping overnight lows around 13–17 °C. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance show limited spread around 23–27 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or short-wave ridging able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical data indicate an average August high near 24–25 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects both this baseline and the inherent uncertainty in extended-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,114结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETTraders see the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 15 centering on 25–26 °C because long-range model guidance and climatological normals place daytime maxima near the upper end of the cool-season range. August typically features subtropical high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest daytime warming while keeping overnight lows around 13–17 °C. Official INMET and global ensemble guidance show limited spread around 23–27 °C, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or short-wave ridging able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical data indicate an average August high near 24–25 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflects both this baseline and the inherent uncertainty in extended-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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