Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 9 forecast highs near 70–75 °F at official stations such as KSFO, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing continued weak sea breeze despite an inland heat wave. This coastal moderation, typical for early August when average maxima hover around 70 °F, explains why traders assign over 52 % implied probability to 75 °F or below and sharply lower odds above 78 °F. Recent ensemble runs show minimal warming signals for the immediate coast through the weekend, with any strengthening high-pressure ridge expected to remain positioned farther east. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日旧金山气温最高？
8月9日旧金山气温最高？
75°F或以下 53%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
75°F或以下
53%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89华氏度
<1%
90-91华氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
75°F或以下 53%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
75°F或以下
$1,837 交易量
53%
76-77°F
$447 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$620 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$634 交易量
9%
82-83°F
$1,593 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$910 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$247 交易量
<1%
88-89华氏度
$251 交易量
<1%
90-91华氏度
$266 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$305 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$365 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 9 forecast highs near 70–75 °F at official stations such as KSFO, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing continued weak sea breeze despite an inland heat wave. This coastal moderation, typical for early August when average maxima hover around 70 °F, explains why traders assign over 52 % implied probability to 75 °F or below and sharply lower odds above 78 °F. Recent ensemble runs show minimal warming signals for the immediate coast through the weekend, with any strengthening high-pressure ridge expected to remain positioned farther east. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$7,476结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 9 forecast highs near 70–75 °F at official stations such as KSFO, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing continued weak sea breeze despite an inland heat wave. This coastal moderation, typical for early August when average maxima hover around 70 °F, explains why traders assign over 52 % implied probability to 75 °F or below and sharply lower odds above 78 °F. Recent ensemble runs show minimal warming signals for the immediate coast through the weekend, with any strengthening high-pressure ridge expected to remain positioned farther east. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,476结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETPersistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 9 forecast highs near 70–75 °F at official stations such as KSFO, consistent with National Weather Service and model guidance showing continued weak sea breeze despite an inland heat wave. This coastal moderation, typical for early August when average maxima hover around 70 °F, explains why traders assign over 52 % implied probability to 75 °F or below and sharply lower odds above 78 °F. Recent ensemble runs show minimal warming signals for the immediate coast through the weekend, with any strengthening high-pressure ridge expected to remain positioned farther east. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题