**Miami's subtropical August climate typically produces daily highs near 89°F**, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 86–92°F based on long-term observations. On August 12, 2026, the market consensus heavily favors 92–93°F (63.5% implied probability) or 94–95°F (26.5%), reflecting forecasts from NOAA/NWS and AccuWeather that call for mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity. These patterns often allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before convective cooling sets in, consistent with recent days showing highs of 90–94°F and heat indices well above 100°F due to humidity. No strong cold fronts or tropical systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes clustered near the upper end of the historical August distribution while making extremes above 96°F or below 90°F low-probability events. Updated model runs and official briefings near midday will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日迈阿密气温最高？
8月12日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 8%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$16,711 交易量
最新
$16,711 交易量
2026-08-12
83华氏度或以下
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87华氏度
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 8%
96-97°F 2%
最新
$16,711 交易量
最新
$16,711 交易量
2026-08-12
83华氏度或以下
$702 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$959 交易量
1%
86-87华氏度
$640 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,749 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$2,165 交易量
8%
92-93°F
$4,036 交易量
64%
94-95°F
$3,583 交易量
27%
96-97°F
$1,368 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$660 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$530 交易量
<1%
102°F或更高
$318 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Miami's subtropical August climate typically produces daily highs near 89°F**, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 86–92°F based on long-term observations. On August 12, 2026, the market consensus heavily favors 92–93°F (63.5% implied probability) or 94–95°F (26.5%), reflecting forecasts from NOAA/NWS and AccuWeather that call for mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity.
These patterns often allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before convective cooling sets in, consistent with recent days showing highs of 90–94°F and heat indices well above 100°F due to humidity. No strong cold fronts or tropical systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes clustered near the upper end of the historical August distribution while making extremes above 96°F or below 90°F low-probability events. Updated model runs and official briefings near midday will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$16,711结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Miami's subtropical August climate typically produces daily highs near 89°F**, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 86–92°F based on long-term observations. On August 12, 2026, the market consensus heavily favors 92–93°F (63.5% implied probability) or 94–95°F (26.5%), reflecting forecasts from NOAA/NWS and AccuWeather that call for mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity.
These patterns often allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before convective cooling sets in, consistent with recent days showing highs of 90–94°F and heat indices well above 100°F due to humidity. No strong cold fronts or tropical systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes clustered near the upper end of the historical August distribution while making extremes above 96°F or below 90°F low-probability events. Updated model runs and official briefings near midday will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,711结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Miami's subtropical August climate typically produces daily highs near 89°F**, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 86–92°F based on long-term observations. On August 12, 2026, the market consensus heavily favors 92–93°F (63.5% implied probability) or 94–95°F (26.5%), reflecting forecasts from NOAA/NWS and AccuWeather that call for mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southeast winds and possible afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity. These patterns often allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before convective cooling sets in, consistent with recent days showing highs of 90–94°F and heat indices well above 100°F due to humidity. No strong cold fronts or tropical systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes clustered near the upper end of the historical August distribution while making extremes above 96°F or below 90°F low-probability events. Updated model runs and official briefings near midday will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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