Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate partly cloudy conditions with a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime heating is moderated by thinner air and typical rainy-season cloud cover or afternoon showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to lower-altitude sites. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and modest moisture, though small shifts in timing of convection or insolation could differentiate the two leading outcomes. Historical August highs average around 24°C, providing context for the current elevated forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 39%
27°C 38%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
39%
27°C
38%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 38%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$141 交易量
<1%
21°C
$37 交易量
<1%
22°C
$33 交易量
<1%
23°C
$127 交易量
2%
24°C
$58 交易量
5%
25°C
$248 交易量
10%
26°C
$178 交易量
39%
27°C
$706 交易量
38%
28°C
$67 交易量
8%
29°C
$168 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$346 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate partly cloudy conditions with a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime heating is moderated by thinner air and typical rainy-season cloud cover or afternoon showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to lower-altitude sites. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and modest moisture, though small shifts in timing of convection or insolation could differentiate the two leading outcomes. Historical August highs average around 24°C, providing context for the current elevated forecast range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate partly cloudy conditions with a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime heating is moderated by thinner air and typical rainy-season cloud cover or afternoon showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to lower-altitude sites. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and modest moisture, though small shifts in timing of convection or insolation could differentiate the two leading outcomes. Historical August highs average around 24°C, providing context for the current elevated forecast range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate partly cloudy conditions with a maximum temperature near 26–27°C for Mexico City on August 15, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, daytime heating is moderated by thinner air and typical rainy-season cloud cover or afternoon showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to lower-altitude sites. Model consensus shows limited variability due to stable steering patterns and modest moisture, though small shifts in timing of convection or insolation could differentiate the two leading outcomes. Historical August highs average around 24°C, providing context for the current elevated forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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