Persistent midsummer heat across northern China, reinforced by an ongoing regional heatwave in Shandong province with recent daily maxima of 35–40°C, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August climatology places average highs near 30°C, and official forecasts from agencies such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory project continued warmth in the 30–36°C range under stable high-pressure patterns with limited cloud cover or precipitation. While weather models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks, the probability of a sharp cooling event—such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread rain—is minimal this deep into the warm season, leaving little realistic path for the temperature to fall below the dominant threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日济南气温最高？
8月8日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
16°C or below
$1,751 交易量
<1%
17°C
$736 交易量
<1%
18°C
$761 交易量
<1%
19°C
$306 交易量
<1%
20°C
$318 交易量
<1%
21°C
$403 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,576 交易量
<1%
23°C
$580 交易量
<1%
24°C
$566 交易量
<1%
25°C
$678 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,172 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent midsummer heat across northern China, reinforced by an ongoing regional heatwave in Shandong province with recent daily maxima of 35–40°C, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August climatology places average highs near 30°C, and official forecasts from agencies such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory project continued warmth in the 30–36°C range under stable high-pressure patterns with limited cloud cover or precipitation. While weather models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks, the probability of a sharp cooling event—such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread rain—is minimal this deep into the warm season, leaving little realistic path for the temperature to fall below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,846结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent midsummer heat across northern China, reinforced by an ongoing regional heatwave in Shandong province with recent daily maxima of 35–40°C, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August climatology places average highs near 30°C, and official forecasts from agencies such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory project continued warmth in the 30–36°C range under stable high-pressure patterns with limited cloud cover or precipitation. While weather models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks, the probability of a sharp cooling event—such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread rain—is minimal this deep into the warm season, leaving little realistic path for the temperature to fall below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,846结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETPersistent midsummer heat across northern China, reinforced by an ongoing regional heatwave in Shandong province with recent daily maxima of 35–40°C, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August climatology places average highs near 30°C, and official forecasts from agencies such as the Shandong Meteorological Observatory project continued warmth in the 30–36°C range under stable high-pressure patterns with limited cloud cover or precipitation. While weather models exhibit some divergence on exact peaks, the probability of a sharp cooling event—such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread rain—is minimal this deep into the warm season, leaving little realistic path for the temperature to fall below the dominant threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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