Trader consensus on "Other" at 95.5% reflects recent leaderboard data showing no single listed Claude Opus variant—such as claude-opus-5-high or claude-opus-5-max—holding a decisive edge for September 7. As of early September 2026, Anthropic models like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants lead many composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, yet competitors including GPT-6 Astra, Grok 4.6, and Gemini 3.8 Flash remain competitive across coding, reasoning, and user-preference metrics. This positioning aligns with the absence of major releases or benchmark shifts in the past week that would elevate one exact variant. A last-minute Anthropic update or resolution criteria tied to a specific Arena snapshot could still alter outcomes, though current verified performance data supports broad stability through the short resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于其他 95.5%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.0%
claude-opus-5-max <1%
$57,150 交易量
$57,150 交易量
2026-09-07
其他
96%
claude-opus-5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
1%
claude-opus-5-max
1%
其他 95.5%
claude-opus-5-high 1.5%
claude-opus-4-6-high 1.0%
claude-opus-5-max <1%
$57,150 交易量
$57,150 交易量
2026-09-07
其他
$29,592 交易量
96%
claude-opus-5-high
$9,621 交易量
1%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$4,782 交易量
1%
claude-opus-5-max
$13,155 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on "Other" at 95.5% reflects recent leaderboard data showing no single listed Claude Opus variant—such as claude-opus-5-high or claude-opus-5-max—holding a decisive edge for September 7. As of early September 2026, Anthropic models like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants lead many composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, yet competitors including GPT-6 Astra, Grok 4.6, and Gemini 3.8 Flash remain competitive across coding, reasoning, and user-preference metrics. This positioning aligns with the absence of major releases or benchmark shifts in the past week that would elevate one exact variant. A last-minute Anthropic update or resolution criteria tied to a specific Arena snapshot could still alter outcomes, though current verified performance data supports broad stability through the short resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$57,150结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on "Other" at 95.5% reflects recent leaderboard data showing no single listed Claude Opus variant—such as claude-opus-5-high or claude-opus-5-max—holding a decisive edge for September 7. As of early September 2026, Anthropic models like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants lead many composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, yet competitors including GPT-6 Astra, Grok 4.6, and Gemini 3.8 Flash remain competitive across coding, reasoning, and user-preference metrics. This positioning aligns with the absence of major releases or benchmark shifts in the past week that would elevate one exact variant. A last-minute Anthropic update or resolution criteria tied to a specific Arena snapshot could still alter outcomes, though current verified performance data supports broad stability through the short resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$57,150结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 2:42 PM ETTrader consensus on "Other" at 95.5% reflects recent leaderboard data showing no single listed Claude Opus variant—such as claude-opus-5-high or claude-opus-5-max—holding a decisive edge for September 7. As of early September 2026, Anthropic models like Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants lead many composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, yet competitors including GPT-6 Astra, Grok 4.6, and Gemini 3.8 Flash remain competitive across coding, reasoning, and user-preference metrics. This positioning aligns with the absence of major releases or benchmark shifts in the past week that would elevate one exact variant. A last-minute Anthropic update or resolution criteria tied to a specific Arena snapshot could still alter outcomes, though current verified performance data supports broad stability through the short resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题