BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 75.5% implied probability, far ahead of UBJP at 19.5% and all other parties below 1%, reflecting trader consensus on recent alliance shifts. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua's BFP has drawn numerous local officials, including mayors across Maguindanao, Lanao del Sur, Basilan, and Tawi-Tawi, plus unopposed district candidates, bolstering its district and party-list prospects ahead of the September 14 vote. UBJP, the MILF-linked party, faces visible internal divisions and defections despite COMELEC's dominant-party designation. A late-August debate among 13 regional parliamentary parties and security concerns in high-risk areas have underscored the contest between the two main camps, with the hybrid voting system favoring parties with broad local machinery and resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 77%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 20%
选举推迟/取消 1.0%
BAPA <1%
$79,509 交易量
$79,509 交易量
2026-09-14
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
77%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
20%
选举推迟/取消
1%
BAPA
1%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
1%
BGC
1%
BEST党
1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
DTLO
<1%
ABOT
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
摩洛阿克党
<1%
穆沙瓦拉
<1%
PBB
<1%
RAAYAT民主党
<1%
C4P
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 77%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 20%
选举推迟/取消 1.0%
BAPA <1%
$79,509 交易量
$79,509 交易量
2026-09-14
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
$14,242 交易量
77%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
$48,727 交易量
20%
选举推迟/取消
$1,058 交易量
1%
BAPA
$756 交易量
1%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
$673 交易量
1%
BGC
$1,099 交易量
1%
BEST党
$724 交易量
1%
MAHARDIKA
$707 交易量
<1%
LBIAA
$967 交易量
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$1,184 交易量
<1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
$743 交易量
<1%
ROHOSUPA
$642 交易量
<1%
TPWC
$541 交易量
<1%
RSL
$552 交易量
<1%
DTLO
$738 交易量
<1%
ABOT
$671 交易量
<1%
ISAMA
$662 交易量
<1%
摩洛阿克党
$662 交易量
<1%
穆沙瓦拉
$701 交易量
<1%
PBB
$596 交易量
<1%
RAAYAT民主党
$637 交易量
<1%
C4P
$789 交易量
<1%
RSEU
$808 交易量
<1%
THE ROYALS
$627 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 75.5% implied probability, far ahead of UBJP at 19.5% and all other parties below 1%, reflecting trader consensus on recent alliance shifts. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua's BFP has drawn numerous local officials, including mayors across Maguindanao, Lanao del Sur, Basilan, and Tawi-Tawi, plus unopposed district candidates, bolstering its district and party-list prospects ahead of the September 14 vote. UBJP, the MILF-linked party, faces visible internal divisions and defections despite COMELEC's dominant-party designation. A late-August debate among 13 regional parliamentary parties and security concerns in high-risk areas have underscored the contest between the two main camps, with the hybrid voting system favoring parties with broad local machinery and resources.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
交易量
$79,509结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 75.5% implied probability, far ahead of UBJP at 19.5% and all other parties below 1%, reflecting trader consensus on recent alliance shifts. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua's BFP has drawn numerous local officials, including mayors across Maguindanao, Lanao del Sur, Basilan, and Tawi-Tawi, plus unopposed district candidates, bolstering its district and party-list prospects ahead of the September 14 vote. UBJP, the MILF-linked party, faces visible internal divisions and defections despite COMELEC's dominant-party designation. A late-August debate among 13 regional parliamentary parties and security concerns in high-risk areas have underscored the contest between the two main camps, with the hybrid voting system favoring parties with broad local machinery and resources.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
交易量
$79,509结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETBFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 75.5% implied probability, far ahead of UBJP at 19.5% and all other parties below 1%, reflecting trader consensus on recent alliance shifts. Interim Chief Minister Abdulraof Macacua's BFP has drawn numerous local officials, including mayors across Maguindanao, Lanao del Sur, Basilan, and Tawi-Tawi, plus unopposed district candidates, bolstering its district and party-list prospects ahead of the September 14 vote. UBJP, the MILF-linked party, faces visible internal divisions and defections despite COMELEC's dominant-party designation. A late-August debate among 13 regional parliamentary parties and security concerns in high-risk areas have underscored the contest between the two main camps, with the hybrid voting system favoring parties with broad local machinery and resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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