The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 78%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 15%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
MAHARDIKA 3.1%
$18,710 交易量
$18,710 交易量
2026-09-14
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
78%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
15%
ROHOSUPA
3%
MAHARDIKA
3%
THE ROYALS
3%
RSEU
3%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
3%
DTLO
3%
BGC
3%
选举推迟/取消
3%
PBB
3%
穆沙瓦拉
2%
TPWC
2%
RAAYAT民主党
2%
ISAMA
2%
RSL
2%
摩洛阿克党
2%
ABOT
2%
ROHOSUMA
1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
<1%
C4P
<1%
BEST党
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
BAPA
<1%
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP） 78%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP） 15%
ROHOSUPA 3.4%
MAHARDIKA 3.1%
$18,710 交易量
$18,710 交易量
2026-09-14
联合邦萨摩洛正义党（UBJP）
$13,282 交易量
78%
邦萨摩罗联邦党（BFP）
$1,030 交易量
15%
ROHOSUPA
$222 交易量
3%
MAHARDIKA
$239 交易量
3%
THE ROYALS
$229 交易量
3%
RSEU
$223 交易量
3%
伊朗侬苏丹国联盟 (ISLPI)
$194 交易量
3%
DTLO
$168 交易量
3%
BGC
$265 交易量
3%
选举推迟/取消
$188 交易量
3%
PBB
$177 交易量
3%
穆沙瓦拉
$188 交易量
2%
TPWC
$221 交易量
2%
RAAYAT民主党
$194 交易量
2%
ISAMA
$168 交易量
2%
RSL
$185 交易量
2%
摩洛阿克党
$168 交易量
2%
ABOT
$168 交易量
2%
ROHOSUMA
$249 交易量
1%
进步邦萨摩洛党
$168 交易量
<1%
C4P
$185 交易量
<1%
BEST党
$184 交易量
<1%
LBIAA
$185 交易量
<1%
BAPA
$224 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
市场开放时间： Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
交易量
$18,710结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
交易量
$18,710结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market reflect a highly fragmented field of over two dozen accredited regional parties competing under a mixed electoral system of party-list seats, single-member districts, and sectoral representation ahead of the September 14 vote. Recent legislative action resetting the date via Republic Act 12317, ongoing Comelec security coordination with police and military, and pending Supreme Court petitions on procedural matters have sustained uncertainty. Clan-based dynamics, alliances among former rebel-linked groups such as UBJP and Bangsamoro Party, and commitments from multiple parties to peaceful conduct further prevent any single contender from consolidating trader consensus. Developments including finalized nominee lists, intensified security measures, or shifts in coalition negotiations could produce clearer separation in the weeks before polling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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