Zelenskyy’s X activity during the August 21–28 window reflects steady baseline output driven by the protracted Russia-Ukraine conflict, with traders pricing the 60–79 and 80–99 brackets nearly equally because his typical cadence—multiple daily addresses, diplomatic updates, and paired Ukrainian-English posts—has hovered in that range absent major spikes. Recent Russian strikes on civilian areas and Kyiv’s transmission of fresh peace proposals to Washington have sustained engagement without pushing volumes sharply higher, while routine institutional events such as commemorations keep the floor elevated. A sudden escalation, high-stakes summit, or extended lull in frontline developments could widen the gap between the two leading brackets by altering both volume and timing of official statements.