Trump’s established pattern of directing public criticism at prominent Democrats, journalists, and political opponents shapes trader expectations for this market through September 30. Recent press interactions and speeches have featured repeated attacks on female reporters and media outlets, alongside longstanding targets such as former officials and rivals. Scheduled appearances, including potential convention and international forum remarks, provide platforms that historically coincide with pointed statements. Ongoing policy disputes and midterm messaging further sustain the environment for personal or professional disparagement. These factors underpin the crowd-sourced probabilities reflected in current pricing, though the exact individuals targeted remain subject to daily developments and Trump’s public schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,891 交易量
2026-09-30
巴拉克·歐巴馬
91%
莉蒂夏·詹姆斯
87%
凱西·霍楚爾
79%
馬克·卡尼
54%
凱特蘭·柯林斯
59%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
55%
塔克·卡爾森
67%
伊麗莎白·華倫
52%
瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
50%
亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
50%
Norah O'Donnell
39%
史蒂芬·科貝爾
29%
伊隆馬斯克
26%
吉米·坎摩爾
25%
弗里德里希·梅爾茨
21%
坎迪斯·歐文斯
20%
安迪·伯納姆
20%
傑洛姆·鮑威爾
16%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克宏
15%
弗拉基米爾·普丁
14%
亞歷克斯·瓊斯
14%
班傑明·納坦雅胡
13%
潘·龐迪
12%
凱文·沃什
8%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
7%
梅拉尼婭·川普
11%
教宗良十四世
5%
J.D.范斯
4%
習近平
3%
卡羅琳·萊維特
3%
梅根·凱利
36%
J.B.普利茨克
47%
喬恩·奧索夫
48%
亞當·希夫
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
52%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
61%
Zohran Mamdani
49%
$42,891 交易量
巴拉克·歐巴馬
$2,220 交易量
91%
莉蒂夏·詹姆斯
$368 交易量
87%
凱西·霍楚爾
$1,760 交易量
79%
馬克·卡尼
$2,596 交易量
54%
凱特蘭·柯林斯
$624 交易量
59%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
$1,440 交易量
55%
塔克·卡爾森
$2,163 交易量
67%
伊麗莎白·華倫
$457 交易量
52%
瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林
$1,414 交易量
50%
亞歷山卓·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
$140 交易量
50%
Norah O'Donnell
$52 交易量
39%
史蒂芬·科貝爾
$321 交易量
29%
伊隆馬斯克
$62 交易量
26%
吉米·坎摩爾
$823 交易量
25%
弗里德里希·梅爾茨
$1,106 交易量
21%
坎迪斯·歐文斯
$1,644 交易量
20%
安迪·伯納姆
$1,796 交易量
20%
傑洛姆·鮑威爾
$1,309 交易量
16%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克宏
$2,966 交易量
15%
弗拉基米爾·普丁
$1,774 交易量
14%
亞歷克斯·瓊斯
$60 交易量
14%
班傑明·納坦雅胡
$1,189 交易量
13%
潘·龐迪
$76 交易量
12%
凱文·沃什
$3,646 交易量
8%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
$380 交易量
7%
梅拉尼婭·川普
$95 交易量
11%
教宗良十四世
$959 交易量
5%
J.D.范斯
$1,273 交易量
4%
習近平
$384 交易量
3%
卡羅琳·萊維特
$272 交易量
3%
梅根·凱利
$377 交易量
36%
J.B.普利茨克
$264 交易量
47%
喬恩·奧索夫
$103 交易量
48%
亞當·希夫
$61 交易量
50%
Abdul El-Sayed
$1,016 交易量
52%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
$163 交易量
61%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,229 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s established pattern of directing public criticism at prominent Democrats, journalists, and political opponents shapes trader expectations for this market through September 30. Recent press interactions and speeches have featured repeated attacks on female reporters and media outlets, alongside longstanding targets such as former officials and rivals. Scheduled appearances, including potential convention and international forum remarks, provide platforms that historically coincide with pointed statements. Ongoing policy disputes and midterm messaging further sustain the environment for personal or professional disparagement. These factors underpin the crowd-sourced probabilities reflected in current pricing, though the exact individuals targeted remain subject to daily developments and Trump’s public schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
交易量
$42,891結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s established pattern of directing public criticism at prominent Democrats, journalists, and political opponents shapes trader expectations for this market through September 30. Recent press interactions and speeches have featured repeated attacks on female reporters and media outlets, alongside longstanding targets such as former officials and rivals. Scheduled appearances, including potential convention and international forum remarks, provide platforms that historically coincide with pointed statements. Ongoing policy disputes and midterm messaging further sustain the environment for personal or professional disparagement. These factors underpin the crowd-sourced probabilities reflected in current pricing, though the exact individuals targeted remain subject to daily developments and Trump’s public schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$42,891結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETTrump’s established pattern of directing public criticism at prominent Democrats, journalists, and political opponents shapes trader expectations for this market through September 30. Recent press interactions and speeches have featured repeated attacks on female reporters and media outlets, alongside longstanding targets such as former officials and rivals. Scheduled appearances, including potential convention and international forum remarks, provide platforms that historically coincide with pointed statements. Ongoing policy disputes and midterm messaging further sustain the environment for personal or professional disparagement. These factors underpin the crowd-sourced probabilities reflected in current pricing, though the exact individuals targeted remain subject to daily developments and Trump’s public schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions