US pressure on Cuba has intensified through 2026 under the Trump administration, with an oil blockade since January, secondary sanctions on foreign firms dealing with state and military entities like GAESA, and demands for reforms including compensation for expropriated US properties, reduced ties with China and Russia, and greater economic opening. Cuba responded in June with its broadest market-liberalization measures since 1959, expanding private enterprise, foreign investment access, and autonomy for state firms across energy, agriculture, and trade. Diplomatic talks have continued, including high-level visits and proposals for limited oil sales to private Cuban entities, yet sanctions have persisted into August amid stalled progress on core US conditions. These dynamics shape trader views on whether a comprehensive economic deal can materialize before key deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$434,545 交易量
December 31
11%
$434,545 交易量
December 31
11%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
US pressure on Cuba has intensified through 2026 under the Trump administration, with an oil blockade since January, secondary sanctions on foreign firms dealing with state and military entities like GAESA, and demands for reforms including compensation for expropriated US properties, reduced ties with China and Russia, and greater economic opening. Cuba responded in June with its broadest market-liberalization measures since 1959, expanding private enterprise, foreign investment access, and autonomy for state firms across energy, agriculture, and trade. Diplomatic talks have continued, including high-level visits and proposals for limited oil sales to private Cuban entities, yet sanctions have persisted into August amid stalled progress on core US conditions. These dynamics shape trader views on whether a comprehensive economic deal can materialize before key deadlines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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