Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline gain and a firmer-than-expected 0.3% core increase driven by energy prices surging 2.1% and airline fares rising 2.7%, has anchored trader expectations for the September print amid elevated gasoline costs and geopolitical pressures. Core services inflation remains persistent while shelter costs continue their gradual climb, and University of Michigan surveys indicate one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors support the close contest between 0.4% and 0.5% outcomes in the market, with the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC decision and October 14 CPI release serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities based on further labor market or commodity developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.5% 33%
0.4% 29%
0.6% 16%
0.2% 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
29%
0.5%
33%
0.6%
16%
0.7%
7%
≥0.8%
6%
0.5% 33%
0.4% 29%
0.6% 16%
0.2% 7%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$132 交易量
3%
0.1%
$110 交易量
5%
0.2%
$149 交易量
7%
0.3%
$150 交易量
5%
0.4%
$886 交易量
29%
0.5%
$2,968 交易量
33%
0.6%
$149 交易量
16%
0.7%
$130 交易量
7%
≥0.8%
$746 交易量
6%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline gain and a firmer-than-expected 0.3% core increase driven by energy prices surging 2.1% and airline fares rising 2.7%, has anchored trader expectations for the September print amid elevated gasoline costs and geopolitical pressures. Core services inflation remains persistent while shelter costs continue their gradual climb, and University of Michigan surveys indicate one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors support the close contest between 0.4% and 0.5% outcomes in the market, with the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC decision and October 14 CPI release serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities based on further labor market or commodity developments.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$5,420結束日期
2026-10-15市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline gain and a firmer-than-expected 0.3% core increase driven by energy prices surging 2.1% and airline fares rising 2.7%, has anchored trader expectations for the September print amid elevated gasoline costs and geopolitical pressures. Core services inflation remains persistent while shelter costs continue their gradual climb, and University of Michigan surveys indicate one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors support the close contest between 0.4% and 0.5% outcomes in the market, with the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC decision and October 14 CPI release serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities based on further labor market or commodity developments.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$5,420結束日期
2026-10-15市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRecent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline gain and a firmer-than-expected 0.3% core increase driven by energy prices surging 2.1% and airline fares rising 2.7%, has anchored trader expectations for the September print amid elevated gasoline costs and geopolitical pressures. Core services inflation remains persistent while shelter costs continue their gradual climb, and University of Michigan surveys indicate one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors support the close contest between 0.4% and 0.5% outcomes in the market, with the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC decision and October 14 CPI release serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities based on further labor market or commodity developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions