Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日東京的最低溫度？
8月23日東京的最低溫度？
25°C 98.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,118 交易量
$10,118 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
$10,118 交易量
$10,118 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$393 交易量
<1%
21°C
$781 交易量
<1%
22°C
$965 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,198 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,734 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,895 交易量
98%
26°C
$1,122 交易量
<1%
27°C
$245 交易量
<1%
28°C
$312 交易量
<1%
29°C
$229 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$244 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,118結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,118結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 23 will settle near 25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly winds that limit radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Recent observations show dew points around 23–24°C sustaining warmth through the night, consistent with climatological averages for the date when urban heat island effects and marine influence keep lows elevated. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 25°C reflects this model agreement, though a surprise clearing trend or stronger northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 24°C before sunrise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions