Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's September 16 minimum will likely fall between 21–23 °C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 22 °C and 23 °C because small variations in pre-dawn cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind timing can shift the low by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 22 °C, providing a climatological anchor, while current observations show dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient cooling without widespread fog. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will likely determine which outcome resolves the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日上海最低溫度？
9月16日上海最低溫度？
23°C 49%
22°C 47%
24°C 4%
21°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 47%
24°C 4%
21°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
$124 交易量
<1%
18°C
$138 交易量
<1%
19°C
$81 交易量
1%
20°C
$21 交易量
2%
21°C
$408 交易量
4%
22°C
$1,245 交易量
47%
23°C
$1,637 交易量
49%
24°C
$749 交易量
4%
25°C
$71 交易量
<1%
26°C
$123 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's September 16 minimum will likely fall between 21–23 °C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 22 °C and 23 °C because small variations in pre-dawn cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind timing can shift the low by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 22 °C, providing a climatological anchor, while current observations show dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient cooling without widespread fog. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will likely determine which outcome resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,555結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's September 16 minimum will likely fall between 21–23 °C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 22 °C and 23 °C because small variations in pre-dawn cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind timing can shift the low by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 22 °C, providing a climatological anchor, while current observations show dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient cooling without widespread fog. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will likely determine which outcome resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,555結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's September 16 minimum will likely fall between 21–23 °C under stable high pressure, light northeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 22 °C and 23 °C because small variations in pre-dawn cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind timing can shift the low by 1 °C. Historical September minima average near 22 °C, providing a climatological anchor, while current observations show dew points in the mid-teens supporting efficient cooling without widespread fog. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning surface observations will likely determine which outcome resolves the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions