**Recent forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 point to overnight lows near 21–23°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (32%) and 23°C (46.5%).** Multiple sources, including detailed hourly models from Yr.no and easeweather.com, show daytime highs around 25–28°C dropping to 21–23°C in the early morning hours under overcast or light-rain conditions. This matches climatological early-September averages for the region while reflecting current moderating influences. A stationary front and widespread rain across the Korean Peninsula in late August have introduced cooler, moister air, preventing the higher overnight readings seen in mid-summer. Model consensus shows limited warming overnight due to persistent cloud cover and light winds, keeping the lowest temperature from falling below 21°C or rising above 24°C. With September 1 only 48 hours away, the next updated model runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月1日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
23°C 47%
22°C 32%
24°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
32%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
23°C 47%
22°C 32%
24°C 13%
25°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$68 交易量
2%
20°C
$129 交易量
3%
21°C
$21 交易量
7%
22°C
$37 交易量
32%
23°C
$0 交易量
47%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$10 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 point to overnight lows near 21–23°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (32%) and 23°C (46.5%).** Multiple sources, including detailed hourly models from Yr.no and easeweather.com, show daytime highs around 25–28°C dropping to 21–23°C in the early morning hours under overcast or light-rain conditions. This matches climatological early-September averages for the region while reflecting current moderating influences.
A stationary front and widespread rain across the Korean Peninsula in late August have introduced cooler, moister air, preventing the higher overnight readings seen in mid-summer. Model consensus shows limited warming overnight due to persistent cloud cover and light winds, keeping the lowest temperature from falling below 21°C or rising above 24°C. With September 1 only 48 hours away, the next updated model runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$264結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 point to overnight lows near 21–23°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (32%) and 23°C (46.5%).** Multiple sources, including detailed hourly models from Yr.no and easeweather.com, show daytime highs around 25–28°C dropping to 21–23°C in the early morning hours under overcast or light-rain conditions. This matches climatological early-September averages for the region while reflecting current moderating influences.
A stationary front and widespread rain across the Korean Peninsula in late August have introduced cooler, moister air, preventing the higher overnight readings seen in mid-summer. Model consensus shows limited warming overnight due to persistent cloud cover and light winds, keeping the lowest temperature from falling below 21°C or rising above 24°C. With September 1 only 48 hours away, the next updated model runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$264結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 point to overnight lows near 21–23°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (32%) and 23°C (46.5%).** Multiple sources, including detailed hourly models from Yr.no and easeweather.com, show daytime highs around 25–28°C dropping to 21–23°C in the early morning hours under overcast or light-rain conditions. This matches climatological early-September averages for the region while reflecting current moderating influences. A stationary front and widespread rain across the Korean Peninsula in late August have introduced cooler, moister air, preventing the higher overnight readings seen in mid-summer. Model consensus shows limited warming overnight due to persistent cloud cover and light winds, keeping the lowest temperature from falling below 21°C or rising above 24°C. With September 1 only 48 hours away, the next updated model runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will be the key catalyst for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions