**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日西雅圖的最低溫度？
8月22日西雅圖的最低溫度？
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
華氏51度或以下 <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 交易量
$2,292 交易量
2026-08-22
華氏51度或以下
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69華氏度
否
華氏70度或以上
否
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
華氏51度或以下 <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 交易量
$2,292 交易量
2026-08-22
華氏51度或以下
$163 交易量
否
52-53°F
$267 交易量
否
54-55°F
$126 交易量
否
56-57°F
$32 交易量
否
58-59°F
$558 交易量
是
60-61°F
$245 交易量
否
62-63°F
$292 交易量
否
64-65°F
$154 交易量
否
66-67°F
$152 交易量
否
68-69華氏度
$152 交易量
否
華氏70度或以上
$152 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.**
This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,292結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.**
This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,292結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions