**Incoming cooler air and persistent cloud cover with rain are positioning overnight lows near or below 15°C as the leading market outcomes for Sao Paulo on September 13.** Southeasterly winds and a shift from recent warm, sunny conditions (highs near 27–30°C) to overcast skies and precipitation are limiting daytime heating while moderating but not fully suppressing nocturnal cooling at the city’s ~760–800 m elevation. Official and model guidance points to daytime highs around 16–17°C and lows of 13–15°C, consistent with September climatology yet cooler than the prior week. Trader emphasis on the 10°C-or-below bin (45% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in forecast model spread and the potential for stronger radiational cooling or a more pronounced cold-air intrusion if skies clear overnight. Upcoming NHC/INMET updates and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月13日聖保羅最低溫度？
10°C或以下 97%
15°C 32%
16°C 31%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
97%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
32%
16°C
31%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
10°C或以下 97%
15°C 32%
16°C 31%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
97%
11°C
$0 交易量
9%
12°C
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$5 交易量
26%
14°C
$6 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$15 交易量
<1%
18°C
$15 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cooler air and persistent cloud cover with rain are positioning overnight lows near or below 15°C as the leading market outcomes for Sao Paulo on September 13.**
Southeasterly winds and a shift from recent warm, sunny conditions (highs near 27–30°C) to overcast skies and precipitation are limiting daytime heating while moderating but not fully suppressing nocturnal cooling at the city’s ~760–800 m elevation. Official and model guidance points to daytime highs around 16–17°C and lows of 13–15°C, consistent with September climatology yet cooler than the prior week. Trader emphasis on the 10°C-or-below bin (45% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in forecast model spread and the potential for stronger radiational cooling or a more pronounced cold-air intrusion if skies clear overnight. Upcoming NHC/INMET updates and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$71結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cooler air and persistent cloud cover with rain are positioning overnight lows near or below 15°C as the leading market outcomes for Sao Paulo on September 13.**
Southeasterly winds and a shift from recent warm, sunny conditions (highs near 27–30°C) to overcast skies and precipitation are limiting daytime heating while moderating but not fully suppressing nocturnal cooling at the city’s ~760–800 m elevation. Official and model guidance points to daytime highs around 16–17°C and lows of 13–15°C, consistent with September climatology yet cooler than the prior week. Trader emphasis on the 10°C-or-below bin (45% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in forecast model spread and the potential for stronger radiational cooling or a more pronounced cold-air intrusion if skies clear overnight. Upcoming NHC/INMET updates and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Incoming cooler air and persistent cloud cover with rain are positioning overnight lows near or below 15°C as the leading market outcomes for Sao Paulo on September 13.** Southeasterly winds and a shift from recent warm, sunny conditions (highs near 27–30°C) to overcast skies and precipitation are limiting daytime heating while moderating but not fully suppressing nocturnal cooling at the city’s ~760–800 m elevation. Official and model guidance points to daytime highs around 16–17°C and lows of 13–15°C, consistent with September climatology yet cooler than the prior week. Trader emphasis on the 10°C-or-below bin (45% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in forecast model spread and the potential for stronger radiational cooling or a more pronounced cold-air intrusion if skies clear overnight. Upcoming NHC/INMET updates and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions