Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on late-summer temperatures. Hourly observations show daytime highs near 26–27°C declining gradually after sunset, with minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limiting drops below 22°C. Slight model variations in exact wind speed and cloud timing create the tight spread between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes, while probabilities for 21°C or lower remain low absent stronger cold advection. Official resolution will rely on verified station measurements through the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日青島最低氣溫?
22°C 55%
23°C 50%
21°C 25%
19°C or below 6%
19°C or below
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
55%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 50%
21°C 25%
19°C or below 6%
19°C or below
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
25%
22°C
55%
23°C
50%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Qingdao's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northerly winds, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on late-summer temperatures. Hourly observations show daytime highs near 26–27°C declining gradually after sunset, with minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limiting drops below 22°C. Slight model variations in exact wind speed and cloud timing create the tight spread between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes, while probabilities for 21°C or lower remain low absent stronger cold advection. Official resolution will rely on verified station measurements through the night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions