**Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Paris on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and possible drizzle.** This positions 17°C as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (18.5%) and 18°C (12.0%). Scientific drivers include the seasonal transition at the end of August, when Paris experiences moderating Atlantic air masses that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover reduces heat loss to space, while southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.4°C. Earlier in August 2026, temperatures ran several degrees above normal, but a cooling trend over the past week—with highs dropping into the low 20s°C—has stabilized the overnight range. Recent model consensus and agency guidance show little spread, with most runs clustering the minimum between 16–18°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts overnight; sustained clouds and winds above 10–15 km/h favor the 17°C outcome, while unexpected clearing could allow a dip toward 16°C or lower. Updated Météo-France runs and final observational data on the morning of September 1 will determine the official recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日巴黎最低溫度？
8月31日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
67%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C或以上
<1%
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$52 交易量
<1%
13°C
$65 交易量
1%
14°C
$57 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C
$237 交易量
19%
17°C
$931 交易量
67%
18°C
$231 交易量
12%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C
$5 交易量
4%
21°C
$65 交易量
1%
22°C或以上
$52 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Paris on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and possible drizzle.** This positions 17°C as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (18.5%) and 18°C (12.0%).
Scientific drivers include the seasonal transition at the end of August, when Paris experiences moderating Atlantic air masses that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover reduces heat loss to space, while southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.4°C. Earlier in August 2026, temperatures ran several degrees above normal, but a cooling trend over the past week—with highs dropping into the low 20s°C—has stabilized the overnight range.
Recent model consensus and agency guidance show little spread, with most runs clustering the minimum between 16–18°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts overnight; sustained clouds and winds above 10–15 km/h favor the 17°C outcome, while unexpected clearing could allow a dip toward 16°C or lower. Updated Météo-France runs and final observational data on the morning of September 1 will determine the official recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,695結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Paris on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and possible drizzle.** This positions 17°C as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (18.5%) and 18°C (12.0%).
Scientific drivers include the seasonal transition at the end of August, when Paris experiences moderating Atlantic air masses that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover reduces heat loss to space, while southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.4°C. Earlier in August 2026, temperatures ran several degrees above normal, but a cooling trend over the past week—with highs dropping into the low 20s°C—has stabilized the overnight range.
Recent model consensus and agency guidance show little spread, with most runs clustering the minimum between 16–18°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts overnight; sustained clouds and winds above 10–15 km/h favor the 17°C outcome, while unexpected clearing could allow a dip toward 16°C or lower. Updated Météo-France runs and final observational data on the morning of September 1 will determine the official recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,695結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate an overnight low near 17°C for Paris on August 31, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and possible drizzle.** This positions 17°C as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (18.5%) and 18°C (12.0%). Scientific drivers include the seasonal transition at the end of August, when Paris experiences moderating Atlantic air masses that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover reduces heat loss to space, while southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.4°C. Earlier in August 2026, temperatures ran several degrees above normal, but a cooling trend over the past week—with highs dropping into the low 20s°C—has stabilized the overnight range. Recent model consensus and agency guidance show little spread, with most runs clustering the minimum between 16–18°C. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts overnight; sustained clouds and winds above 10–15 km/h favor the 17°C outcome, while unexpected clearing could allow a dip toward 16°C or lower. Updated Météo-France runs and final observational data on the morning of September 1 will determine the official recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions