**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F. No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 6%
76-77°F 2%
71°F或以下 <1%
$7,372 交易量
$7,372 交易量
2026-09-16
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
94%
80-81華氏度
<1%
82-83華氏度
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 6%
76-77°F 2%
71°F或以下 <1%
$7,372 交易量
$7,372 交易量
2026-09-16
71°F或以下
$61 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$73 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$249 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$581 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$1,159 交易量
94%
80-81華氏度
$1,979 交易量
<1%
82-83華氏度
$275 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$208 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,023 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$847 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$923 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F.
No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,372結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F.
No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,372結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F. No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions