**Short-term forecast models indicate persistent southwest monsoon influence over Metro Manila through September 8, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in the 24–26°C range.** This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities (25°C at 33%, 26°C at 32.5%, 24°C at 31%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and PAGASA showing nighttime lows near 25°C amid high humidity (around 90%) and light winds. Historical September climatology supports typical lows of 25–26°C, but variable precipitation timing and intensity introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月8日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下 33.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
33%
22°C
10%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
33%
26°C 50%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下 33.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
33%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
31%
25°C
$0 交易量
31%
26°C
$6 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models indicate persistent southwest monsoon influence over Metro Manila through September 8, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in the 24–26°C range.**
This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities (25°C at 33%, 26°C at 32.5%, 24°C at 31%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and PAGASA showing nighttime lows near 25°C amid high humidity (around 90%) and light winds. Historical September climatology supports typical lows of 25–26°C, but variable precipitation timing and intensity introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$6結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast models indicate persistent southwest monsoon influence over Metro Manila through September 8, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in the 24–26°C range.**
This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities (25°C at 33%, 26°C at 32.5%, 24°C at 31%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and PAGASA showing nighttime lows near 25°C amid high humidity (around 90%) and light winds. Historical September climatology supports typical lows of 25–26°C, but variable precipitation timing and intensity introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Short-term forecast models indicate persistent southwest monsoon influence over Metro Manila through September 8, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping the daily minimum temperature in the 24–26°C range.** This aligns with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities (25°C at 33%, 26°C at 32.5%, 24°C at 31%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and PAGASA showing nighttime lows near 25°C amid high humidity (around 90%) and light winds. Historical September climatology supports typical lows of 25–26°C, but variable precipitation timing and intensity introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions