Persistent southwest monsoon flow and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for August 24. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate scattered showers and high humidity that trap heat, limiting the typical seasonal drop toward 24–25°C. Recent station observations show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid similar conditions, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 25°C. With resolution hinging on the single lowest hourly reading, traders weigh the monsoon’s steady influence against model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing closely matched probabilities across the 24–28°C range and a notable share on 31°C or higher if cloud cover remains unbroken.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
8月24日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C或更高
-
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
$222 交易量
1%
22°C
$145 交易量
6%
23°C
$26 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$5 交易量
27%
30°C
$23 交易量
3%
31°C或更高
$162 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for August 24. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate scattered showers and high humidity that trap heat, limiting the typical seasonal drop toward 24–25°C. Recent station observations show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid similar conditions, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 25°C. With resolution hinging on the single lowest hourly reading, traders weigh the monsoon’s steady influence against model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing closely matched probabilities across the 24–28°C range and a notable share on 31°C or higher if cloud cover remains unbroken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$583結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for August 24. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate scattered showers and high humidity that trap heat, limiting the typical seasonal drop toward 24–25°C. Recent station observations show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid similar conditions, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 25°C. With resolution hinging on the single lowest hourly reading, traders weigh the monsoon’s steady influence against model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing closely matched probabilities across the 24–28°C range and a notable share on 31°C or higher if cloud cover remains unbroken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$583結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C for August 24. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs indicate scattered showers and high humidity that trap heat, limiting the typical seasonal drop toward 24–25°C. Recent station observations show overnight lows holding at 27–28°C amid similar conditions, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 25°C. With resolution hinging on the single lowest hourly reading, traders weigh the monsoon’s steady influence against model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind, producing closely matched probabilities across the 24–28°C range and a notable share on 31°C or higher if cloud cover remains unbroken.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions