Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest cooling overnight in Madrid on August 24 due to increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a passing frontal system that reduces radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler Atlantic air. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 18.7°C for the date, with consensus pointing to 17–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below at 65.5% reflects these runs and recent cooling from highs in the low 30s earlier in the month, though model spread and potential for clearer breaks introduce modest uncertainty ahead of AEMET and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月24日馬德裏最低氣溫？
18°C or below 69%
20°C 17%
19°C 16%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
69%
19°C
16%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
1%
18°C or below 69%
20°C 17%
19°C 16%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
$0 交易量
69%
19°C
$5 交易量
16%
20°C
$6 交易量
10%
21°C
$165 交易量
7%
22°C
$66 交易量
3%
23°C
$155 交易量
1%
24°C
$150 交易量
1%
25°C
$438 交易量
<1%
26°C
$15 交易量
1%
27°C
$79 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$156 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest cooling overnight in Madrid on August 24 due to increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a passing frontal system that reduces radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler Atlantic air. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 18.7°C for the date, with consensus pointing to 17–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below at 65.5% reflects these runs and recent cooling from highs in the low 30s earlier in the month, though model spread and potential for clearer breaks introduce modest uncertainty ahead of AEMET and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,236結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest cooling overnight in Madrid on August 24 due to increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a passing frontal system that reduces radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler Atlantic air. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 18.7°C for the date, with consensus pointing to 17–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below at 65.5% reflects these runs and recent cooling from highs in the low 30s earlier in the month, though model spread and potential for clearer breaks introduce modest uncertainty ahead of AEMET and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,236結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest cooling overnight in Madrid on August 24 due to increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and a passing frontal system that reduces radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler Atlantic air. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the long-term average of 18.7°C for the date, with consensus pointing to 17–19°C. Trader emphasis on 18°C or below at 65.5% reflects these runs and recent cooling from highs in the low 30s earlier in the month, though model spread and potential for clearer breaks introduce modest uncertainty ahead of AEMET and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions