High pressure building over the UK, drawing warmer subtropical air northward while promoting clear skies and light winds, forms the main driver behind current Polymarket odds for London's September 21 minimum temperature. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C under these conditions, with radiative cooling enhanced by reduced cloud cover, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Recent nights have recorded minima of 10–13°C amid variable Atlantic influences, supporting trader consensus on outcomes clustered near 8–11°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
10°C 37%
11°C 35%
9°C 28%
12°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
9%
9°C
28%
10°C
24%
11°C
35%
12°C
20%
13°C
19%
14°C
8%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C或以上
2%
10°C 37%
11°C 35%
9°C 28%
12°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
9°C
$0 交易量
28%
10°C
$136 交易量
24%
11°C
$151 交易量
35%
12°C
$270 交易量
20%
13°C
$3 交易量
19%
14°C
$5 交易量
8%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over the UK, drawing warmer subtropical air northward while promoting clear skies and light winds, forms the main driver behind current Polymarket odds for London's September 21 minimum temperature. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C under these conditions, with radiative cooling enhanced by reduced cloud cover, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Recent nights have recorded minima of 10–13°C amid variable Atlantic influences, supporting trader consensus on outcomes clustered near 8–11°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$565結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building over the UK, drawing warmer subtropical air northward while promoting clear skies and light winds, forms the main driver behind current Polymarket odds for London's September 21 minimum temperature. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C under these conditions, with radiative cooling enhanced by reduced cloud cover, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Recent nights have recorded minima of 10–13°C amid variable Atlantic influences, supporting trader consensus on outcomes clustered near 8–11°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$565結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETHigh pressure building over the UK, drawing warmer subtropical air northward while promoting clear skies and light winds, forms the main driver behind current Polymarket odds for London's September 21 minimum temperature. Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C under these conditions, with radiative cooling enhanced by reduced cloud cover, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Recent nights have recorded minima of 10–13°C amid variable Atlantic influences, supporting trader consensus on outcomes clustered near 8–11°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions