Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a high-pressure system building over the UK, delivering mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds across London on September 21. These factors favor daytime radiative warming under clear skies, supporting a maximum temperature near 23°C—above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the high. Trader-implied odds align closely with this outlook, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could still favor 22°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月21日倫敦的最高溫度？
23°C 48%
22°C 27%
24°C 19%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
27%
23°C
48%
24°C
19%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 48%
22°C 27%
24°C 19%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$166 交易量
<1%
19°C
$45 交易量
<1%
20°C
$100 交易量
2%
21°C
$228 交易量
5%
22°C
$832 交易量
27%
23°C
$1,235 交易量
48%
24°C
$676 交易量
19%
25°C
$268 交易量
5%
26°C
$92 交易量
<1%
27°C
$121 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a high-pressure system building over the UK, delivering mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds across London on September 21. These factors favor daytime radiative warming under clear skies, supporting a maximum temperature near 23°C—above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the high. Trader-implied odds align closely with this outlook, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could still favor 22°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,046結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a high-pressure system building over the UK, delivering mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds across London on September 21. These factors favor daytime radiative warming under clear skies, supporting a maximum temperature near 23°C—above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the high. Trader-implied odds align closely with this outlook, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could still favor 22°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,046結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts and supporting model consensus indicate a high-pressure system building over the UK, delivering mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds across London on September 21. These factors favor daytime radiative warming under clear skies, supporting a maximum temperature near 23°C—above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress the high. Trader-implied odds align closely with this outlook, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could still favor 22°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions