Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds favoring a 13°C minimum for London on September 1 at 41%, stems primarily from the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a mild Atlantic airflow with partial cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Typical early-September baselines for the region hover near 12–14°C, and current model runs place the most likely range at 12–14°C amid moderate uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential clear-sky pockets that could enhance cooling. Upcoming updated guidance from the UK Met Office within 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日倫敦的最低溫度？
9月1日倫敦的最低溫度？
13°C 41%
14°C 40%
12°C 18%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
11%
12°C
18%
13°C
41%
14°C
23%
15°C
12%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C或以上
2%
13°C 41%
14°C 40%
12°C 18%
15°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
8°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
9°C
$127 交易量
1%
10°C
$11 交易量
8%
11°C
$0 交易量
11%
12°C
$48 交易量
18%
13°C
$126 交易量
41%
14°C
$67 交易量
23%
15°C
$10 交易量
12%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C
$5 交易量
2%
18°C或以上
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds favoring a 13°C minimum for London on September 1 at 41%, stems primarily from the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a mild Atlantic airflow with partial cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Typical early-September baselines for the region hover near 12–14°C, and current model runs place the most likely range at 12–14°C amid moderate uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential clear-sky pockets that could enhance cooling. Upcoming updated guidance from the UK Met Office within 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$413結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds favoring a 13°C minimum for London on September 1 at 41%, stems primarily from the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a mild Atlantic airflow with partial cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Typical early-September baselines for the region hover near 12–14°C, and current model runs place the most likely range at 12–14°C amid moderate uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential clear-sky pockets that could enhance cooling. Upcoming updated guidance from the UK Met Office within 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$413結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus, reflected in market-implied odds favoring a 13°C minimum for London on September 1 at 41%, stems primarily from the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a mild Atlantic airflow with partial cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling. Typical early-September baselines for the region hover near 12–14°C, and current model runs place the most likely range at 12–14°C amid moderate uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential clear-sky pockets that could enhance cooling. Upcoming updated guidance from the UK Met Office within 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions