**Persistent northeast monsoon flow and clear, dry conditions under high pressure are anchoring overnight lows near 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 18, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models project a minimum of 26°C within a daily range of 26–31°C, driven by moderate easterly winds (around 4–8 m/s) that limit radiational cooling while humidity remains elevated (55–85%). Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30–31°C with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the stable subtropical ridge suppressing significant temperature drops. Trader consensus (market-implied odds of 53.5% for 27°C and 41.5% for 26°C) reflects this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to any unexpected model shift toward stronger cooling or higher wind speeds. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution, though final HKO hourly data will determine the exact minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日香港最低溫度？
9月18日香港最低溫度？
27°C 54%
26°C 42%
25°C 6%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
42%
27°C
54%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 42%
25°C 6%
23°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$202 交易量
6%
26°C
$2,312 交易量
42%
27°C
$1,022 交易量
54%
28°C
$55 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$235 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$231 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow and clear, dry conditions under high pressure are anchoring overnight lows near 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 18, 2026.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models project a minimum of 26°C within a daily range of 26–31°C, driven by moderate easterly winds (around 4–8 m/s) that limit radiational cooling while humidity remains elevated (55–85%). Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30–31°C with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the stable subtropical ridge suppressing significant temperature drops.
Trader consensus (market-implied odds of 53.5% for 27°C and 41.5% for 26°C) reflects this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to any unexpected model shift toward stronger cooling or higher wind speeds. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution, though final HKO hourly data will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4,058結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow and clear, dry conditions under high pressure are anchoring overnight lows near 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 18, 2026.**
Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models project a minimum of 26°C within a daily range of 26–31°C, driven by moderate easterly winds (around 4–8 m/s) that limit radiational cooling while humidity remains elevated (55–85%). Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30–31°C with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the stable subtropical ridge suppressing significant temperature drops.
Trader consensus (market-implied odds of 53.5% for 27°C and 41.5% for 26°C) reflects this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to any unexpected model shift toward stronger cooling or higher wind speeds. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution, though final HKO hourly data will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,058結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Persistent northeast monsoon flow and clear, dry conditions under high pressure are anchoring overnight lows near 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 18, 2026.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models project a minimum of 26°C within a daily range of 26–31°C, driven by moderate easterly winds (around 4–8 m/s) that limit radiational cooling while humidity remains elevated (55–85%). Recent observations show daytime maxima near 30–31°C with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the stable subtropical ridge suppressing significant temperature drops. Trader consensus (market-implied odds of 53.5% for 27°C and 41.5% for 26°C) reflects this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 25°C or below tied to any unexpected model shift toward stronger cooling or higher wind speeds. No major synoptic changes are anticipated before resolution, though final HKO hourly data will determine the exact minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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