Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 19 amid persistent southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around mid-range outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses have suppressed typical September radiational cooling, with historical averages near 8.7°C for the date, while variable cloud cover and precipitation rates create uncertainty in the exact minimum. Key variables include timing of any clearer breaks that could allow further cooling and wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected on September 18 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
9月19日赫爾辛基最低溫度？
12°C 46%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
7°C或以下
9%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C或以上
5%
12°C 46%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
8°C
$0 交易量
19%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$46 交易量
46%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
7%
16°C
$0 交易量
5%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 19 amid persistent southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around mid-range outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses have suppressed typical September radiational cooling, with historical averages near 8.7°C for the date, while variable cloud cover and precipitation rates create uncertainty in the exact minimum. Key variables include timing of any clearer breaks that could allow further cooling and wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected on September 18 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$46結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 19 amid persistent southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around mid-range outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses have suppressed typical September radiational cooling, with historical averages near 8.7°C for the date, while variable cloud cover and precipitation rates create uncertainty in the exact minimum. Key variables include timing of any clearer breaks that could allow further cooling and wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected on September 18 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles points to overnight lows near 11–13°C on September 19 amid persistent southwesterly flow and scattered showers, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around mid-range outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses have suppressed typical September radiational cooling, with historical averages near 8.7°C for the date, while variable cloud cover and precipitation rates create uncertainty in the exact minimum. Key variables include timing of any clearer breaks that could allow further cooling and wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected on September 18 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions