Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月19日馬德裏最低氣溫？
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12°C或以下
17%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
19%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C或以上
5%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
17%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
7%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$0 交易量
5%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts from models such as ECMWF and regional guidance indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 19 will likely settle near the long-term average of about 15°C, supported by clearing skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover after an earlier frontal passage that briefly lowered readings. Trader consensus near 50% for both sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes reflects lingering model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing under stable high-pressure conditions, with key updates from AEMET expected in the next 24–48 hours. Historical September lows average 14.9°C, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions