Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Chicago on September 14, promoting radiative cooling after a high near 73°F. This setup favors an overnight minimum in the mid-50s, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 59.4°F for the date. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between the low-50s and upper-50s bins, which together capture the bulk of trader positioning. Stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover could limit cooling and shift probabilities toward the 60s, while any unexpected clearing would reinforce the lower range. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before the minimum is observed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日芝加哥的最低溫度？
9月14日芝加哥的最低溫度？
68°F或更高 75%
49°F或以下 48%
64-65°F 38%
60-61華氏度 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
49°F或以下
48%
華氏50-51度
23%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
21%
60-61華氏度
37%
62-63°F
37%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
37%
68°F或更高
75%
68°F或更高 75%
49°F或以下 48%
64-65°F 38%
60-61華氏度 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
49°F或以下
$0 交易量
48%
華氏50-51度
$0 交易量
23%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
32%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
30%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
21%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
21%
60-61華氏度
$0 交易量
37%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
37%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
38%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
37%
68°F或更高
$0 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Chicago on September 14, promoting radiative cooling after a high near 73°F. This setup favors an overnight minimum in the mid-50s, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 59.4°F for the date. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between the low-50s and upper-50s bins, which together capture the bulk of trader positioning. Stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover could limit cooling and shift probabilities toward the 60s, while any unexpected clearing would reinforce the lower range. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before the minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Chicago on September 14, promoting radiative cooling after a high near 73°F. This setup favors an overnight minimum in the mid-50s, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 59.4°F for the date. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between the low-50s and upper-50s bins, which together capture the bulk of trader positioning. Stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover could limit cooling and shift probabilities toward the 60s, while any unexpected clearing would reinforce the lower range. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before the minimum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Chicago on September 14, promoting radiative cooling after a high near 73°F. This setup favors an overnight minimum in the mid-50s, several degrees below the 1991–2020 average low of 59.4°F for the date. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between the low-50s and upper-50s bins, which together capture the bulk of trader positioning. Stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover could limit cooling and shift probabilities toward the 60s, while any unexpected clearing would reinforce the lower range. Updated model runs tonight will provide the next key data point before the minimum is observed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions