**Trader consensus strongly favors a 10°C low in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service equivalents, Yr.no, and international models converge on an overnight minimum near 10°C under mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, and dry conditions typical for late winter. This aligns with climatological norms for Cape Town in late August, where average lows hover around 8-12°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or unexpected cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require either stronger radiational cooling from lighter winds or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, both of which current observations and short-range guidance do not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日開普敦最低溫度？
8月30日開普敦最低溫度？
10°C 94%
7°C 4%
8°C 1%
9°C 1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 94%
7°C 4%
8°C 1%
9°C 1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
$170 交易量
<1%
7°C
$35 交易量
4%
8°C
$105 交易量
1%
9°C
$340 交易量
1%
10°C
$632 交易量
94%
11°C
$302 交易量
<1%
12°C
$255 交易量
<1%
13°C
$77 交易量
1%
14°C
$35 交易量
1%
15°C
$30 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 10°C low in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service equivalents, Yr.no, and international models converge on an overnight minimum near 10°C under mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, and dry conditions typical for late winter. This aligns with climatological norms for Cape Town in late August, where average lows hover around 8-12°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or unexpected cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require either stronger radiational cooling from lighter winds or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, both of which current observations and short-range guidance do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,028結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 10°C low in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service equivalents, Yr.no, and international models converge on an overnight minimum near 10°C under mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, and dry conditions typical for late winter. This aligns with climatological norms for Cape Town in late August, where average lows hover around 8-12°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or unexpected cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require either stronger radiational cooling from lighter winds or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, both of which current observations and short-range guidance do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,028結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 10°C low in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 94% implied probability.** Multiple forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service equivalents, Yr.no, and international models converge on an overnight minimum near 10°C under mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, and dry conditions typical for late winter. This aligns with climatological norms for Cape Town in late August, where average lows hover around 8-12°C. Recent model runs show consistent cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or unexpected cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require either stronger radiational cooling from lighter winds or an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, both of which current observations and short-range guidance do not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions